Nope - Bad Proof-reading
Wow! Look what happens when you pull duty! I almost didn't catch this one since it is already on the third page of posts on my setup! Well, I apologize to the readers that I have started this - because these posts are destined to become longer and longer to adequately discuss - and will triple in length when we begin to document all of this stuff. I will not waste bandwidth with repetition in this post and will only repeat the first line of the section of the previous post that I am referring to. The readers will please scroll up to see the full quote. Also, these are very complex theories with even more complex arguments and issues. It will be interesting to see how large the posts concerning this issue get.
> Please don't be offended by this response.
I am not - in fact I thoroughly enjoy debate, especially that of a scientific and/or political nature. Likewise in the South, when you publicly imply that you question someone's integrity and imply that they are "leisurely" pursuing the truth, you must also be willing to publicly "take one on the jaw" so to speak if this person is speaking with probity and has substantial evidence to back his claim. We call that "defendin' ya onna!" Also in the South, we do not shout these things while we hide like children throwing stones from behind trees at passers-by. As anyone who has lived any amount of time in the South can tell you, when we claim that we have the vestige of truth on a matter, we not only identify ourselves boldly, we stand toe to toe and eye to eye discussing the matter, then sit down and sip lemonade and talk about fishing after words. This is called Southern Hospitality.
> First, please don't confuse global warming and stratospheric ozone
No problem! I completely understand the difference. However, if you recall the environmental movement continues to promote that stratospheric ozone depletion = global warming. This is how it is marketed to the average citizen. I.e., Ozone depletion is causing more UV light to strike the earth's surface causing severe climatic changes ultimately leading to global warming. This is how it is marketed to cause the apocalyptic hysteria in the media and general public. This is indeed convoluted thinking, and while the CFC depletion THEORY is a workable THEORY , it remains just that - a THEORY. Furthermore, the evidence of global warming is next to nonexistent anyway. I'm sorry, your right . . . I lied . . . we actually did heat up FORTY FIVE ONE HUNDRETHS OF A DEGREE CELCIUS over the last century!
> If you are going to argue your position you had better be right, or less find yourself with little regard.
I have been told that as a Marine, I have enough regard for myself to make up for those who do not have any for me. (~~Very sly grin~~ CJDave - why don't we have a moonguy for this?)
> I'll start with the gas Freon, of course it is heavier than air, but then oxygen,
While the diffusion and atmospheric principle works well in discussions of perfume and the formulas for the breakdown of CFC's work well in the lab and on paper, there is still no CONCLUSIVE scientific evidence that this is actually what is happening in the real world! As you have admitted yourself, it is "gross speculation" at worst, "fairly well supported" at best. As for the CFC's staying in our atmosphere for 100 yrs (400 yrs according to some) why then is there such an even dispersion of CFC's in the strata already? And why is there an ozone hole already? I didn't know they had Freon in every home, business, car, fire extinguisher, etc in 1857 (1957 being the earliest date I can find for the "hole in the ozone discovery") As to the intense UV radiation, if the hole causes MORE UV to come through, then the chemical process will accelerate (especially when combined with the catalytic destruction process!) We are talking about an uncontrollable "nuclear-type" explosion of chlorine to eat the ozone! Then why is this not the case? Why then were there two record levels of ozone in the atmosphere in 1968 then again in 1978, then again in the very late 1980's or very early 1990's? (I forget the year off the top of my head - I will have to look for it again) Why then with all of these CFC's in the atmosphere does the ozone hole completely disappear from time to time?
> By the way 1 lb of CFC can destroy 70,000 lbs of ozone.
But of that 1lb of CFC, very liberal estimates put only 1/10 of that amount ever reaching the ozone layer! Where then does all of these CFC's go? . . . . .
> THEY DO NOT ABSORB INTO THE SOIL TO BE
> BROKEN DOWN BY MICROORGANISMS. That's beyond funny, that would
> KILL THEM.
Is that so? Do you actually have conclusive evidence that supports this claim, or do you assume that because these gasses are toxic to vertebrates they are also toxic to invertebrates? Before you respond you had best do your homework!
> Chlorine monoxide is not "a gas in CFC's" and is not "a
Okay, you got me here. When I first read this response, I didn't know what the heck you were talking about! I didn't realize that I put "monoxide" after it in the original post. This I assure you was due to hastily putting this together, and deleting, cutting, and pasting trying to keep an extremely complex and voluminous interdisciplinary issue brief and easy to digest in a BBS forum. For the record, I was not going to draw this out due to the fact that most people are not interested in chemical formulas, but since you insist that my integrity is at stake, lets break down the formula of "CFC ozone depletion" so that you know that I am not trying to just "get off the hook" with my "leisurely" pursuit of the truth through "bad science."
CCl2F2 + UV => Cl + CClF2
Cl + O3 => ClO + O2
(And then for the catalytic destruction principle)
ClO + O => Cl + O2
You will see by this chemical formula that when CFC's are broken down by UV, they produce Cl "chlorine" which adheres to O3 "ozone" to from ClO "chlorine monoxide." When cutting and pasting several paragraphs of text, this is an easy mistake to make. This is what I meant by the statement "a gas in CFC's," and it should have read "chlorine" and not "chlorine monoxide" which is the initial RESULT of the depletion process. But what you have so articulately put in your rebuttal about CFC's actually supports my "claim!" How? The chlorine produced by volcanic eruptions is vaulted DIRECTLY into the upper atmosphere and even into the ozone layer itself in many cases! There is no more efficient delivery into a highly reactive equation! The "ash" as you have noted, as well as the gasses, remain for long periods due to the fact that they are above the level in which they efficiently washed out! Some is washed out at the lower levels (ash as well as gasses,) but even heavy ash concentrations as high as 30,000 feet have remained for long periods and have played havoc on aircraft flying through it. Cl cannot exist even for a short time in this system? Precisely! See the formula! Chlorine monoxide cannot exist even for a short time? Precisely! Another product in this level of atmosphere is atomic oxygen! Bang! You have another chemical reaction and end up with your atomic chlorine again and the reaction repeats itself! Pump chlorine, bromine, or fluorine (all ozone depleting gasses) directly into this mix from volcanic eruptions, and you end up with the same results - ozone depletion - and with even greater efficiency!
> By the way, that coldest year on record after
Bingo! Yet another interesting phenomena quite overlooked be these with doomsday agendas. In fact we have also had a 2% increase in cloud cover in the northern hemisphere. It has been substantially shown that a 4% increase in cloud cover will totally negate and even have a cooling effect on a !!!50%!!!! increase in carbon dioxide gasses (another really really REAL cause of global warming.)
> And again, ozone depletion is not the same as global
Simply put: I do not shoot concentrated chlorine, bromine, and fluorine DIRECTLY into the upper atmosphere! You have said it yourself that it can take up to 20yrs for these gasses to reach this level, then they still have to be broken down. This is not the "most efficient means" to get these gasses up there!
> As for holes, the hole in the Arctic has just started to
What is disputable is this reasoning and the explanation of this phenomenon! There is a NATURAL 50% thinning of the ozone from seasonal changes, as well as a NATURAL 2% thinning from the ozone thickness above my house here in the D.C. area to the Kevin the "Boston Mangler's" house! These holes grow and then totally disappear on regular cycles! Could it be that our climatology is just too complex to nail down this depletion to just one gas? We have treated this as a LAW instead of a THEORY and it has cost taxpayers and consumers billions. Let's get this depletion thing into perspective!
> An interesting note on CFC regulation, which is Title IV of the
This is correct, and I did not want to mention it because of WHO the DuPont's are and WHAT they control! Now you got the conspiracy theorists going, and I'm not going to entertain this any more than it already has been. You have not addressed the actions and words of the Honorable Mr. Albert Gore, Jr, and that is what is VERY interesting to note here.
Actually since we are on the subject of global warming: the greatest result of global warming appeared from 1917-1921, and at such a small amount that it was not noticed until the mid 1980's! Of the sum of warming, all but 10% of the warming trend occurred PRIOR to 1940! How can the greatest increase in global warming take place before the greatest amount of "greenhouse gasses" (the "really really really REAL cause global warming" by the way) were produced AFTER 1950! I thought we were headed for another ice age in the 60's and 70's according to the apocalyptic sciences anyway?!?!?! In fact, JUST THIS WEEK the big 3 released the news that a new study shows we may be headed to a cold weather trend across all northern states with more el ninos and la ninas over the next 20 years! What the heck? Could it be that all of this regulating is fueling panic to cause people to put more money in the pockets of the environmentalists and big business like DuPont? You watch. Our next big catastrophe will be caused by private land ownership and how we rape our lands with our small farms, ranches, and lumber harvests for our fireplaces and how when we drive our 4x4s out and take wildlife for "blood sport" we are permanently destroying microsystems! What did you say Arizona? . . .Maine? . . .California? What? You mean that these same men with these same agendas have already done this to you? You uneducated-right-wing-red-neck-alarmists! How dare you imply this!
> Jay please don't take this as a slam, but you are not going to win
You are right because I have already lost! But this wasn't because of "my data," it was because these decisions were made before the ALL the data was available for me to read and make an intelligent decision and make my voice known in the democratic process. These decisions were made hastily! As for your closing statement? Wow! Now that is scientific! With this approach I can be comfortable with the fact that the world is flat! Let me say here (and to the offence of many) that I do not necessarily endorse nor do I follow "High Anxiety" or other such groups. I have visited their site once in curiosity since a post made reference to it. I am however, an avid reader - and not just an avid reader of liberal newspapers reflecting pop culture. I love to scratch and dig. I would also advise that you, sir, practice what you preach. Just because something is very popular among the scientific community, it does not mean it is necessarily factual. (It is most likely very popular because these are the areas that the post Cold War research grants are being funneled, and to keep these grants coming - ESPECIALLY FROM ENVIRONMENTAL GROUPS . . . cha-ching$$$) Please note most of our high school and college textbooks published in the early 1990's STILL taught "why" you see color according to the "classic color vision theory." This was the result primarily of the works of Isaac Newton (1642-1727), John Dalton (1766-1844), Thomas Young (1773-1829), Hermann von Helmholtz (1821-1894), and James Clerk Maxwell (1831-1879). Wow! These are icons in the scientific community! Though this was never a "law" it had always been taught as though it were one, much like Darwin's evolution of man - yet both of these are merely "theories" and not "laws" of science. I would bet that the vast majority of the viewing audience would be shocked to find out that this theory has been severely challenged by the color vision experiments of Edwin Land in his Retonex Theory of Color Vision in 1958! Why didn't we hear about it? It was not the popular science of the day!
"A hypothesis is always more believable than the truth, for it has been tailored to resemble our ideas of truth, whereas the truth is just its own clumsy self. Ergo, never discover the truth when a hypothesis will do."
- Niccolo Machiavelli
"The most extraordinary aspect of the treaty was its imposition of short-term economic costs to protect human health and the environment against unproved future dangers . . .dangers that rested on scientific theories, rather than on firm data. At the time negotiations and signing, no measurable evidence of damage existed . . . By their action, the signatory countries sounded the death knell for an important part of the international chemical industry, with implications for billions of dollars in investment and hundreds of thousands of jobs in related sectors."
-Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Environment and U.S. Negotiator in the Montreal Protocol, Richard Benedick, "Ozone Diplomacy" page 190.
"It is clear that current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class - involving high meat intake, consumption of large amounts of frozen and convenience foods, use of fossil fuels, ownership of motor vehicles and small electrical appliances, home and work-place air-conditioning, and suburban housing - are not sustainable. A shift is necessary toward lifestyles less geared to environmental damaging consumption patterns."
-Secretary General of the United Nation's Conference of Environment (UNCED) Earth Summit, Co-founder/creater of the United Nations Environmental Programme, Former Co-chair of the World Economic Forum, Maurice Strong quoted in Michael McCoy's article "Trekking to the Summit," Earth Summit in Focus 2, 1991 UNCED, 2.